Coconut Oil Price Trends in APAC: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in the Philippines:

Coconut oil prices in the Philippines surged to 2,540 USD/MT by March 2025, marking a significant 17% increase since December 2024. This sharp escalation was fueled by robust global demand meeting limited production capacity, as adverse weather disrupted key growing regions. Export policy changes further tightened supply, intensifying market pressures. The Coconut Oil Price Index now signals ongoing volatility and potential supply challenges that may persist throughout the year.

Get the Real-Time Prices Analysis: https://www.imarcgroup.com/coconut-oil-pricing-report/requestsample

Note: The analysis can be tailored to align with the customer's specific needs.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be extended to provide detailed coconut oil price information for the following list of countries.

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in Europe: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Europe:

The Coconut Oil Historical Price Data reveals that prices in Europe rose sharply to 2,363 USD/MT by March 2025. This increase was driven by strong demand from the cosmetic and health food sectors, combined with production shortfalls in key supplier countries like the Philippines and Indonesia. Additionally, a stronger U.S. dollar against the euro added pressure, contributing to market volatility and ongoing uncertainty in the coconut oil market for 2025.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of European countries

such as Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, the Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, along with other European nations.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in APAC: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Shri Lanka:

Coconut oil prices in Sri Lanka surged to 2,860 USD/MT by March 2025, marking a dramatic increase during the first quarter. This sharp rise was primarily driven by severe supply constraints following destructive typhoons and persistent drought, which significantly reduced plantation yields. Additionally, Sri Lanka’s export-focused policies diverted more supply to international markets, deepening domestic shortages. The Coconut Oil Prices Forecast Chart highlights this upward trend, signalling ongoing volatility as the market recovers from these compounded challenges.

Coconut Oil Prices in India:

India’s coconut oil market reached a historic high of 2,940 USD/MT by March 2025, reflecting unprecedented price escalation through the first quarter. This surge was fueled by rapidly growing demand from the pharmaceutical and cosmetic industries, which increasingly value coconut oil for its therapeutic and dermatological benefits. The loss of coconut oil’s traditional price advantage over palm kernel oil eliminated substitution options, intensifying competition across all sectors. The Coconut Oil Prices Forecast Chart captured this sharp appreciation, highlighting the convergence of these pressures that propelled prices to record levels.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of APAC regions:

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hong Kong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Coconut Oil Price Trends in South America: Q1 2025 Overview

Coconut Oil Prices in Brazil:

In Q1 2025, coconut oil prices in Brazil surged to a record 3,170 USD/MT, representing the sharpest increase seen in South America’s market. This dramatic rise was fueled by strong demand from Brazil’s booming personal care and cosmetic industries, as well as increased use in pharmaceutical applications. Intense competition for limited supplies led to a significant supply-demand imbalance, further accelerating prices. Analysts expect this upward trend and market volatility to persist in the near term.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed coconut oil price data for a wide range of South America.

such as Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru, among other Latin American countries.

Factors Affecting Coconut Oil Price Trend, Index, and Forecast

Tight Global Supply

Reduced beginning stocks and modest production growth are driving a supply squeeze. Major producers like the Philippines and Indonesia have faced lower harvests due to adverse weather and production challenges, leading to persistent supply deficits.

Rising Global Demand

Demand is surging across food, cosmetics, health, and biofuel sectors. The shift toward sustainable, plant-based, and natural products, especially in Europe and North America, is fueling consumption growth.

Export Policies and Trade Regulations

Export restrictions or policy changes in key producing countries (e.g., Indonesia considering export bans, India raising import taxes) are tightening international supply and supporting higher prices.

Competition with Palm Kernel Oil

Coconut oil competes closely with palm kernel oil in industrial applications. When palm kernel oil prices rise or supply tightens, demand shifts to coconut oil, narrowing the price gap and putting upward pressure on coconut oil prices.

Weather and Climate Events

Unfavorable weather, such as typhoons or droughts in Southeast Asia, disrupts coconut harvests and reduces copra (raw material) availability, leading to price spikes.

Freight and Logistics Costs

Volatile shipping rates and logistical bottlenecks, especially in exporting regions, increase the cost of getting coconut oil to global markets, amplifying price volatility.

Currency Fluctuations

Exchange rate movements, particularly the strength of the US dollar against local currencies, can make exports more expensive and affect price competitiveness in international markets.

Geopolitical Events and Global Vegetable Oil Markets

Disruptions in other vegetable oil supplies (e.g., sunflower oil from Ukraine) push global buyers to seek alternatives like coconut oil, further increasing demand and prices.

Coconut Oil Price Trend and Forecast Highlights

• Coconut oil prices surged globally in early 2025, with the Philippines reaching $2,540/MT and Europe at $2,363/MT by March.
• The price outlook for the first half of 2025 remains bullish, with prices expected to range between $1,900 and $2,050/MT, reflecting a significant premium over historical averages.
• Market analysts forecast continued volatility and elevated prices throughout 2025, driven by supply constraints, resilient demand, and ongoing trade and weather-related disruptions.

FAQs about the Coconut Oil Price Trend, Index, and Forecast:

What is the current Coconut Oil Price Trend, and what's driving it?

The current Coconut Oil Price Trend in early 2025 is a notable upward trajectory, with prices climbing significantly in major producing regions like the Philippines and Sri Lanka. This is largely propelled by adverse weather events impacting coconut yields, combined with consistently strong global demand from both the food processing and the rapidly growing cosmetic and personal care sectors.

How does the Coconut Oil Price Index reflect market conditions?

The Coconut Oil Price Index currently indicates heightened market volatility, reflecting a challenging balance between supply and demand. Recent movements in the index highlight substantial price increases year-over-year, largely due to reduced global production and increased export prices from key producers like Indonesia. This index is a critical gauge of overall market stability.

What is the Coconut Oil Price Forecast for the remainder of 2025?

The Coconut Oil Price Forecast for the rest of 2025 anticipates that prices will likely remain elevated. This outlook is based on the expectation of continued supply deficits resulting from past weather impacts and sustained robust demand, particularly from industrial users. While minor fluctuations may occur, the prevailing sentiment is for a high-price environment.

How do weather conditions specifically impact the Coconut Oil Price Trend?

Weather conditions, such as prolonged droughts or typhoons in major coconut-growing nations, directly and significantly impact the Coconut Oil Price Trend. These events reduce coconut yields and copra production, leading to a diminished supply of raw material. Consequently, when demand remains strong, these weather-induced shortages exert considerable upward pressure on prices.

Besides supply and demand, what other factors influence the Coconut Oil Price Index?

Beyond fundamental supply and demand, the Coconut Oil Price Index is also influenced by several less obvious factors. These include fluctuating production costs (like labor and energy), global trade policies and tariffs, currency exchange rate movements which affect export competitiveness, and the pricing and availability of substitute oils like palm kernel oil. 

Key Coverage:

• Market Analysis
• Market Breakup by Region
• Demand Supply Analysis by Type
• Demand Supply Analysis by Application
• Demand Supply Analysis of Raw Materials
• Price Analysis
  • Spot Prices by Major Ports
  • Price Breakup
  • Price Trends by Region
  • Factors influencing Price Trends
• Market Drivers, Restraints, and Opportunities
• Competitive Landscape
• Recent Developments
• Global Event Analysis

How IMARC Pricing Database Can Help

The latest IMARC Group study, “Coconut Oil Prices, Trend, Chart, Demand, Market Analysis, News, Historical and Forecast Data 2025 Edition,” presents a detailed analysis of the Coconut Oil price trend, offering key insights into global Coconut Oil market dynamics. This report includes comprehensive price charts, which trace historical data and highlight major shifts in the market.

The analysis delves into the factors driving these trends, including raw material costs, production fluctuations, and geopolitical influences. Moreover, the report examines Coconut Oil demand, illustrating how consumer behaviour and industrial needs affect overall market dynamics. By examining the intricate relationship between supply and demand, the prices report reveals key factors that influence current and future prices.

About Us:

IMARC Group is a global management consulting firm that provides a comprehensive suite of services to support market entry and expansion efforts. The company offers detailed market assessments, feasibility studies, regulatory approvals, and licensing support, as well as pricing analysis, including spot pricing and regional price trends. Its expertise spans demand-supply analysis alongside regional insights covering Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, Latin America, the Middle East and Africa. IMARC also specializes in competitive landscape evaluations, profiling key market players, and conducting research into market drivers, restraints, and opportunities. IMARC’s data-driven approach helps businesses navigate complex markets with precision and confidence.

Contact us:
IMARC Group
134 N 4th St., Brooklyn, NY 11249, USA
Email: [email protected]
Tel No: (D) +91 120 433 0800
United States: +1-631-791-1145